Jong Almere City 1-5 AFC Amsterdamsche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Jan 2024

Jong Almere City
1-5 HT 0-2
AFC Amsterdamsche
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Tweede Divisie – 2023/2024

Jong Almere City vs AFC Amsterdamsche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jong Almere City v AFC Amsterdamsche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 36%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.33
+140% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs AFC Amsterdamsche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche ran out comfortable winners over Jong Almere City 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) promised a tight game; AFC Amsterdamsche found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Jong Almere City 1-5 AFC Amsterdamsche in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs AFC Amsterdamsche?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 38%, draw 21%, AFC Amsterdamsche 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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