13/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
30%
Draw
26%
34%
Away Win
31%
53%
Under 2.5
44%
47%
Over 2.5
56%
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
56%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Noordwijk v Koninklijke HFC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Noordwijk
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Koninklijke HFC
EU Bookmakers 34%
-31% /
-31%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+13% /
+13%
0.52/2.07
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-69%
/
-29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
+35%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
351 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
297 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Noordwijk
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
19.08.2023
Koninklijke HFC
2-2
HT 1-2
Noordwijk
HOLTW
2-2
HT 1-2
Noordwijk
HOLTW
POST-MATCH
Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Noordwijk and Koninklijke HFC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?
Noordwijk 1-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Noordwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 37%, draw 30%, Koninklijke HFC 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Noordwijk), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Noordwijk)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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HOLTW
More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
13 Jan 2024