INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.26/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
-3% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
386 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
09.03.2024 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had 44% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)'s 56%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) and 1.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K).

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 48%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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