Al Nasar 1-5 Al Kuwait — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.95
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
62%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.93
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
28%
2.58
6+ Goals
11%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
62%
Away Win
75%
-13.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kuwait EU Bookmakers 80%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
0.78/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.90
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
187 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 560 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Kuwait
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 30
6 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 13
11.05.2024 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 5-1 HT 3-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
30.03.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
08.03.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
07.12.2023 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
04.03.2023 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 7-2 HT 3-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
01.11.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nasar
1-5
AWAY Al Kuwait
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Al Kuwait
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kuwait ran out comfortable winners over Al Nasar 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Kuwait as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Al Nasar had 38% of the ball to Al Kuwait's 62%, shots finished 8-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Kuwait led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Nasar and 3.50 for Al Kuwait.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Kuwait?

Al Nasar 1-5 Al Kuwait in the Kuwait - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Kuwait?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kuwait win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 18%, draw 20%, Al Kuwait 62%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kuwait), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kuwait) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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