Nagykanizsai ULE 2-3 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 14 Sep 2024

Nagykanizsai ULE
2-3 HT 2-2
Ajka
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Hungary - Cup – 2024/2025

Nagykanizsai ULE vs Ajka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nagykanizsai ULE v Ajka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagykanizsai ULE EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 45%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+5% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
297 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Nagykanizsai ULE vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka nicked a narrow win over Nagykanizsai ULE 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nagykanizsai ULE at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Nagykanizsai ULE vs Ajka?

Nagykanizsai ULE 2-3 Ajka in the Hungary - Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagykanizsai ULE vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagykanizsai ULE win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nagykanizsai ULE 43%, draw 21%, Ajka 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nagykanizsai ULE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagykanizsai ULE) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MACK More Hungary - Cup
14 Sep 2024
16:00 BSS Monor vs MOL Fehervar Analysis →
16:00 Testvériség vs Tatabanya Analysis →
16:00 Sarvari FC vs SC Sopron Analysis →
16:00 Kaposvari Rakoczi vs Tiszafuredi VSE Analysis →
16:00 Mosonmagyarovari TE vs Budaörs Analysis →
16:00 Ivancsa vs Tiszakecske Analysis →