Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 60%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.89
+2% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -48%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
1-3
AWAY Wisla Plock
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock got the better of Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 53% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 47%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Wisla Plock?

Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 27%, draw 22%, Wisla Plock 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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