Polonia Warszawa 3-0 Odra Opole — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 29% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Odra Opole EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.39/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.60
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Odra Opole
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 0-1 Odra Opole Odra Opole POL1
26.11.2023 Odra Opole Odra Opole 3-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa swept aside Odra Opole 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polonia Warszawa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Odra Opole led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Polonia Warszawa and 2.00 for Odra Opole.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole?

Polonia Warszawa 3-0 Odra Opole in the Poland - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 44%, draw 26%, Odra Opole 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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