Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Odra Opole — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Odra Opole EU Bookmakers 42%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.99/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.10
-25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Odra Opole
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Odra Opole Odra Opole 3-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
1-1
AWAY Odra Opole
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa and Odra Opole shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Polonia Warszawa had 62% of the ball to Odra Opole's 38%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole?

Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Odra Opole in the Poland - 1st Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole?

Before kick-off our model rated an Odra Opole win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 34%, draw 31%, Odra Opole 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Odra Opole) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odra Opole) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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