Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-2 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -24%
1.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.22
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1W-2D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
31.07.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 HT 2-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
02.04.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-0 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
10.07.2021 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0-2
AWAY KAMAZ
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ got the better of Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Alaniya Vladikavkaz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 65% of the ball to KAMAZ's 35%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 0.75 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs KAMAZ?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-2 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alaniya Vladikavkaz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 45%, draw 26%, KAMAZ 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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