Chernomorets 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.90/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.09
+31% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-2 HT 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
23.09.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-1 HT 2-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
05.10.2022 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUK
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets nicked a narrow win over Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Chernomorets found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chernomorets and 2.00 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Chernomorets 2-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 40%, draw 30%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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