Chernomorets 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.71/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.16
+29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 3-1 HT 2-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
05.10.2022 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUK
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk got the better of Chernomorets 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Yenisey Krasnoyarsk made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chernomorets and 2.00 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Chernomorets 0-2 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 37%, draw 26%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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