Makhachkala 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +14%
1.07/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.92
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.10.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
15.04.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS1
25.09.2022 Makhachkala Makhachkala 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
2-0
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala beat FK Rodina Moskva 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Makhachkala as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Makhachkala had 50% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Makhachkala and 0.67 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Makhachkala 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 42%, draw 29%, FK Rodina Moskva 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Makhachkala), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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