Bodrum FK 0-1 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.09
1/2
10%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
12%
5.53
X/2
15%
5.21
X/X
17%
4.0
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.76
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.61/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.24
+110% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
10.0 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
0-1
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.46 xG 1.89
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
145 Passes 348
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK nicked a narrow win over Bodrum FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 36% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 64%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.46 to 1.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Başakşehir FK's control.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Başakşehir FK?

Bodrum FK 0-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 31%, draw 28%, Başakşehir FK 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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