Samsunspor 0-1 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
7%
8.19
X/X
14%
4.32
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
6.79
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.35/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.36
+5% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.4 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Konyaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.72 xG 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
280 Passes 196
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
12 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
21.12.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
26.10.2021 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TÜK
03.03.2013 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor T1L
13.10.2012 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-2 HT 2-2 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
25.04.2010 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
0-1
AWAY Konyaspor
0.47 xG 0.32
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
463 Passes 202
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Konyaspor edged past Samsunspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Samsunspor had 67% of the ball to Konyaspor's 33%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.47 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samsunspor and 1.33 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Samsunspor 0-1 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 48%, draw 28%, Konyaspor 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Samsunspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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