Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 Inhulets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Inhulets EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.15/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.81
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Inhulets
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2023 Inhulets Inhulets 1-2 HT 0-2 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
04.09.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 HT 0-1 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
27.09.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-1 HT 1-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Inhulets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa nicked a narrow win over Inhulets 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Chornomorets Odessa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chornomorets Odessa had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.00 for Inhulets.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Inhulets?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 Inhulets in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Inhulets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 40%, draw 30%, Inhulets 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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