Thanh Hoa 1-2 Binh Duong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.73
No
39%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
54%
+7.4pp
39%
BTTS No
46%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thanh Hoa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Duong EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.43/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.22
-2% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thanh Hoa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Binh Duong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2024 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 3-2 HT 1-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
22.12.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 0-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
01.06.2023 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-1 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
09.11.2022 Binh Duong Binh Duong 4-2 HT 0-1 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
01.03.2022 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa 0-1 HT 0-1 Binh Duong Binh Duong VİET
16.01.2021 Binh Duong Binh Duong 1-0 HT 1-0 Thanh Hoa Thanh Hoa VİET
POST-MATCH Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binh Duong edged past Thanh Hoa 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Binh Duong made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Binh Duong led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thanh Hoa and 1.67 for Binh Duong.

What was the final score of Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong?

Thanh Hoa 1-2 Binh Duong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thanh Hoa vs Binh Duong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thanh Hoa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Thanh Hoa 37%, draw 31%, Binh Duong 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thanh Hoa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thanh Hoa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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