Dalian Zhixing 2-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 26% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
21%
4.13
X/2
6%
10.0
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✓
9%
22.35
2/2
10%
8.02
2/X
5%
16.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.73/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.84
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
40.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
15.0 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 0.44
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
206 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 5
26.04.2025 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
2-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.18 xG 0.45
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
273 Passes 170
72% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing squeezed past Shenzhen FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 57% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 43%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.18 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dalian Zhixing's control.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Shenzhen FC?

Dalian Zhixing 2-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 57%, draw 23%, Shenzhen FC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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