Shenzhen FC 1-1 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.65
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
16%
6.45
X/2
13%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
33.5
2/2
17%
3.34
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.5 — our 10% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.97/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.98
+30% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
23.5 Crosses 23.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
1-1
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
0.44 xG 1.40
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
401 Passes 206
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC and Dalian Zhixing shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 65% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 35%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.44 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Dalian Zhixing?

Shenzhen FC 1-1 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 39%, draw 24%, Dalian Zhixing 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shenzhen FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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