Changchun YaTai 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
20%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 27% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
13.3
1/2
9%
20.55
1/X
5%
21.55
X/1
6%
16.45
X/2
24%
3.98
X/X
10%
7.75
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
24%
1.59
2/X
7%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
57%
Away Win
69%
-12.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 75%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.98/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.61
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -36%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 85%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
17.2 Crosses 20.7
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
247 Passes 349
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 HT 3-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
14.04.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
12.08.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
14.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
07.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 1-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
01.09.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1-2
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.07 xG 2.44
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
150 Passes 313
56% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 47
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Changchun YaTai 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 38% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 62%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.07 to 2.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chengdu Qianbao's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.83 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Changchun YaTai 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 21%, draw 23%, Chengdu Qianbao 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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