Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.28
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.39
2-3 Goals
36%
2.12
4-5 Goals
31%
2.52
6+ Goals
16%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.44
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.6
X/1
18%
3.58
X/2
4%
21.1
X/X
8%
9.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.4
2/2
5%
14.7
2/X
5%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
74%
-3.8pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.6pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.44/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/3.16
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
25.2 Crosses 11.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.01
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
359 Passes 225
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
12.08.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
14.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 2-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
07.11.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 HT 1-2 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
01.09.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
08.11.2020 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-3 HT 0-3 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
4-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
3.95 xG 0.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
295 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao cruised past Changchun YaTai 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 47% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 53%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 3.95 to 0.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.50 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Changchun YaTai?

Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 70%, draw 17%, Changchun YaTai 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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