Zhejiang G. FC 4-3 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.32
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
9.39
2-3 Goals
36%
2.48
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
17%
3.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.8
X/1
21%
3.94
X/2
6%
18.5
X/X
9%
10.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
17.45
2/2
8%
11.4
2/X
5%
19.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.45 — our 9% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.4pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 16%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.87
-3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
399 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
38.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
26.9 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
1.65 xG 1.77
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
464 Passes 199
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 5-2 HT 1-2 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİNSL
14.04.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
06.04.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
18.08.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
19.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 2-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
4-3
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.86 xG 0.89
64% Ball Possession 36%
45 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
466 Passes 227
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
68 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhejiang G. FC squeezed past Qingdao Jonoon 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zhejiang G. FC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 64% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 36%, shots finished 45-6, expected goals 3.86 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zhejiang G. FC's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 2.20 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Zhejiang G. FC 4-3 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 62%, draw 19%, Qingdao Jonoon 19%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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