Qingdao Jonoon 5-2 Zhejiang G. FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.64
2-3 Goals
31%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.63
6+ Goals
22%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.63
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.2
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
9%
7.61
X/2
18%
5.05
X/X
13%
5.84
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
25%
2.62
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.2 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
30%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+4.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-2.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+2.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.2pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
1.44/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/2.12
+7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
22.8 Crosses 22.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.07 xG 1.66
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
198 Passes 497
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
06.04.2024 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
18.08.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
19.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 2-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
5-2
AWAY Zhejiang G. FC
3.88 xG 1.61
39% Ball Possession 61%
22 Total Shots 18
11 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
207 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 45
14 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Zhejiang G. FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon ran out comfortable winners over Zhejiang G. FC 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zhejiang G. FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 39% of the ball to Zhejiang G. FC's 61%, shots finished 22-18, expected goals 3.88 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 0.75 for Zhejiang G. FC.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Qingdao Jonoon 5-2 Zhejiang G. FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Zhejiang G. FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 23%, draw 27%, Zhejiang G. FC 50%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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