Shandong Taishan 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.14
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
7.83
2-3 Goals
43%
2.29
4-5 Goals
26%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.9
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
4%
13.1
X/X
12%
8.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
17.8
2/2
9%
8.16
2/X
6%
15.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.8 — our 9% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.3pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.2pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.43/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.72
+34% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
377 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.2 Crosses 18.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.38 xG 0.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 255
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-0 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
05.04.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
15.09.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-2 HT 3-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
28.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
17.11.2022 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 HT 0-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
18.10.2021 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.05 xG 0.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
428 Passes 256
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 12
40 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan and Qingdao Jonoon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shandong Taishan at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 60% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 40%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.05 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shandong Taishan and 0.33 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shandong Taishan 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 56%, draw 27%, Qingdao Jonoon 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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