Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Nantong Zhiyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 40% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
19%
4.97
X/2
13%
6.35
X/X
10%
3.76
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
11%
4.81
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+8.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-8.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.1pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 33%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.30/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.38
+4% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
248 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 70%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
6.0 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.85 xG 2.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
234 Passes 244
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2024 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
29.10.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 0-4 HT 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
02.07.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 2-2 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
15.08.2021 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 HT 0-1 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN2
27.07.2021 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 2-1 HT 2-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
2-1
AWAY Nantong Zhiyun
1.13 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
244 Passes 205
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Nantong Zhiyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka squeezed past Nantong Zhiyun 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Meizhou Hakka as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 52% of the ball to Nantong Zhiyun's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.13 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.60 for Nantong Zhiyun.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Meizhou Hakka 2-1 Nantong Zhiyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Nantong Zhiyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 43%, draw 28%, Nantong Zhiyun 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meizhou Hakka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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