Meizhou Hakka 3-2 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 28% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.81
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
18%
5.98
X/2
13%
5.57
X/X
15%
4.9
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
18%
3.44
2/X
7%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 42%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
0.79/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.55
+22% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.1 Crosses 19.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.85 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
276 Passes 336
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 0-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
26.08.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 3-1 HT 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
24.05.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-1 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
25.06.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-0 HT 1-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
04.06.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-1 HT 1-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
3-2
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.58 xG 1.25
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
170 Passes 348
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meizhou Hakka nicked a narrow win over Tianjin Teda 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Meizhou Hakka found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 37% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 63%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.58 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.20 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Teda?

Meizhou Hakka 3-2 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meizhou Hakka win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 35%, draw 29%, Tianjin Teda 35%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
3 Aug 2024
14:00 Zhejiang G. FC vs Qingdao Jonoon Analysis →
14:35 Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port Analysis →
15:00 Chengdu Qianbao vs Changchun YaTai Analysis →
15:00 Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen FC Analysis →