Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 Shenzhen FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.09
6+ Goals
6%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.37 — our 41% vs market 35.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.98
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
3%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2
11%
6.92
X/X
19%
3.77
2/1
4%
31.5
2/2
11%
5.78
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.5pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
Crosses 13.8
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
2.21 xG 0.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
432 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
37 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
29.10.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
26.11.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
28.08.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 5-1 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
4-1
AWAY Shenzhen FC
2.22 xG 1.12
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
251 Passes 402
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns swept aside Shenzhen FC 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wuhan Three Towns as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 40% of the ball to Shenzhen FC's 60%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 2.22 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 0.60 for Shenzhen FC.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen FC?

Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 Shenzhen FC in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shenzhen FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 43%, draw 32%, Shenzhen FC 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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