Shenzhen FC 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2.88
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
19%
4.71
X/2
14%
6.72
X/X
16%
4.14
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
19%
5.06
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +142%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
Crosses 17.5
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
0.89 xG 2.58
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
221 Passes 463
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 42
8 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 HT 0-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
03.07.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
26.11.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
28.08.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 5-1 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
1-1
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
0.69 xG 0.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
460 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC and Wuhan Three Towns couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 59% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 41%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.69 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shenzhen FC and 3.25 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Shenzhen FC 1-1 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 35%, draw 27%, Wuhan Three Towns 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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