Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3-2 HT 0-2
Qingdao Jonoon
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 31% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.73
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
18%
4.58
X/2
10%
7.4
X/X
13%
4.61
2/1
5%
24.85
2/2
13%
5.39
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cangzhou Mighty Lions v Qingdao Jonoon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 30%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.00/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
+8% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.3 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
340 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
07.07.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 0-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNSL
23.06.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 HT 1-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNK

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.38 xG 2.74
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
237 Passes 574
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
23 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cangzhou Mighty Lions nicked a narrow win over Qingdao Jonoon 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cangzhou Mighty Lions as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cangzhou Mighty Lions had 32% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 68%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.38 to 2.74 — on chances, Qingdao Jonoon could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Qingdao Jonoon led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cangzhou Mighty Lions and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cangzhou Mighty Lions 42%, draw 27%, Qingdao Jonoon 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cangzhou Mighty Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cangzhou Mighty Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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