Shandong Taishan 0-1 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.94
Over 2.5
61%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
9.78
2-3 Goals
38%
2.52
4-5 Goals
32%
2.32
6+ Goals
12%
3.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.93
1/2
5%
16.45
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
12%
13.45
X/2
19%
4.21
X/X
6%
9.09
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.7
2/X
6%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.2pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.5pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 69%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.54/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.60
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +43%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
10.0 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.82
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
329 Passes 274
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-3 HT 2-3 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
29.10.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
03.07.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
23.12.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
30.10.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
09.01.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
0-1
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.26 xG 2.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
217 Passes 371
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 41
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port nicked a narrow win over Shandong Taishan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 41% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 59%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.26 to 2.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Port's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.50 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port?

Shandong Taishan 0-1 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 25%, draw 19%, Shanghai Port 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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