Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Burnley v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Burnley 0-1 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool found just enough to beat Burnley 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Liverpool saw more of the ball, 81% to 19%, shots finished 3-27, expected goals 0.14 to 2.65 — on chances created, Liverpool won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Burnley against 1.83 for Liverpool.
Burnley vs Liverpool Result & Final Score
Burnley 0 - 1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Burnley 11%, draw 15%, Liverpool 73%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.