Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool v Burnley — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Liverpool
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Liverpool
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Burnley
İNP
0-3
HT 0-1
Liverpool
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNP
1-1
HT 1-0
Burnley
İNP
Liverpool 3-1 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool beat Burnley 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liverpool had 71% of the ball to Burnley's 29%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.86 to 1.33.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liverpool and 0.33 for Burnley.
What was the final score of Liverpool vs Burnley?
Liverpool 3-1 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Burnley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 66%, draw 19%, Burnley 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.