Fulham 3-1 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.52
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
9%
5.52
X/2
11%
5.69
X/X
12%
4.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
2/2
17%
3.67
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.76/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.23
+52% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
23.0 Crosses 20.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.65
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
01.04.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-1 HT 0-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
15.10.2022 Fulham Fulham 2-2 HT 1-2 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
23.04.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNCL
03.12.2021 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNCL
20.04.2019 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
3-1
AWAY Bournemouth
1.55 xG 1.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 13
342 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 58
14 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham saw off Bournemouth 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Fulham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Fulham had 49% of the ball to Bournemouth's 51%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 1.55 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fulham and 1.50 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Fulham 3-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fulham 39%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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