Wolverhampton 0-2 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
7%
6.49
X/X
17%
4.79
2/1
7%
24.6
2/2
16%
4.44
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.27/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.17
-8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.5 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Brentford
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 398
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-2 HT 1-1 Brentford Brentford FAK
05.01.2024 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton FAK
27.12.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-4 HT 1-3 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
15.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
29.10.2022 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
22.01.2022 Brentford Brentford 1-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
0-2
AWAY Brentford
1.05 xG 1.94
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
565 Passes 165
87% Pass Accuracy 61%
21 Box Touches 16
40 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford saw off Wolverhampton 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Brentford made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 71% of the ball to Brentford's 29%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.05 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.00 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Brentford?

Wolverhampton 0-2 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 40%, draw 30%, Brentford 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wolverhampton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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