Wolverhampton vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolverhampton v Brentford — Team-Based Signals
Wolverhampton vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-3
Wolverhampton
İNP
2-0
HT 1-0
Brentford
İNP
1-1
HT 0-0
Wolverhampton
İNP
1-2
HT 0-0
Wolverhampton
İNP
0-2
HT 0-2
Brentford
İNP
Wolverhampton 3-2 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics
Wolverhampton squeezed past Brentford 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wolverhampton as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Wolverhampton had 59% of the ball to Brentford's 41%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 4.21 to 2.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wolverhampton's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.00 for Brentford.
What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Brentford?
Wolverhampton 3-2 Brentford in the England - FA Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Brentford?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 43%, draw 24%, Brentford 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.