Birmingham 2-1 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.67
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.55
X/2
11%
7.21
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
15%
5.06
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.1pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.70/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.83
-61% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hull City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 1.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
242 Passes 346
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 Hull City Hull City 1-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham FAK
25.10.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
30.12.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
16.10.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
12.03.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
20.11.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
2-1
AWAY Hull City
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham squeezed past Hull City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Birmingham had 54% of the ball to Hull City's 46%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Birmingham and 1.00 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Hull City?

Birmingham 2-1 Hull City in the England - FA Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 42%, draw 24%, Hull City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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