Bristol City 1-0 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 16 Jan 2024

Bristol City
1-0 HT 1-0
West Ham United
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Bristol City vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.69
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
8%
7.22
X/2
14%
4.24
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.71
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol City v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.49/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.27
+33% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.7 Crosses 19.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Bristol City vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
0W-3D-1L
AWAY West Ham United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.66 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
349 Passes 494
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.01.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City FAK
25.01.2015 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United FAK
17.04.2012 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNCL
01.11.2011 West Ham United West Ham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL

Bristol City 1-0 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
1-0
AWAY West Ham United
1.29 xG 1.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 9
360 Passes 463
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City edged past West Ham United 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was West Ham United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bristol City had 43% of the ball to West Ham United's 57%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.29 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, West Ham United led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bristol City and 0.75 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs West Ham United?

Bristol City 1-0 West Ham United in the England - FA Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 30%, draw 26%, West Ham United 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (West Ham United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Ham United) ✓ BTTS No
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