West Ham United 1-1 Bristol City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
20.55
X/1
21%
3.37
X/2
11%
15.75
X/X
10%
6.37
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
5%
13.2
2/X
8%
21.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City EU Bookmakers 15%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.94/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/2.65
+2% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +45%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
20.0 Crosses 7.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Bristol City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
25.01.2015 Bristol City Bristol City 0-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United FAK
17.04.2012 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNCL
01.11.2011 West Ham United West Ham United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
1-1
AWAY Bristol City
1.43 xG 0.66
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
494 Passes 349
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Bristol City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United and Bristol City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. West Ham United carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, West Ham United had 57% of the ball to Bristol City's 43%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.43 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for West Ham United and 0.33 for Bristol City.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Bristol City?

West Ham United 1-1 Bristol City in the England - FA Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Bristol City?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 55%, draw 23%, Bristol City 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (West Ham United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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