Peterborough United 0-3 Leeds United — Result, Stats & Model Review (England - FA Cup, 7 Jan 2024)

Peterborough United

0-3 HT 0-1

Leeds United

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗

England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Peterborough United vs Leeds United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

39%

2.99

Draw

23%

3.8

Away

38%

1.91

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41%

2.61

Over 2.5

59%

1.45

Both Teams to Score

Yes

58%

1.46

42%

2.53

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

22%

5.62

2-3 Goals

38%

2.0

4-5 Goals

27%

2.57

6+ Goals

13%

5.99

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

20%

4.68

1/2 EV+ ✗

20.85

1/X

13.45

X/1

12%

7.36

X/2

13%

4.74

X/X

11%

5.98

2/1

30.5

2/2

17%

2.57

2/X

13.25

Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

39%

Home Win

30%

+9.1pp

23%

Draw

23%

+0.6pp

38%

Away Win

48%

-9.7pp

41%

Under 2.5

35%

+6.4pp

59%

Over 2.5

65%

-6.4pp

58%

BTTS Yes

64%

-6.7pp

42%

BTTS No

36%

+6.7pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Leeds United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 33%

Head to Head

AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 52%

+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%

0.43/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.29/1.27

+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%

45% Ball Possession 55%

13 Total Shots 13

6 Shots on Target 6

4 Corners 6

272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 75%

11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.8

6.0 Crosses 23.7

6.0 Yellow Cards 3.6

Peterborough United vs Leeds United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME Peterborough United

1W-1D-4L

AWAY Leeds United

1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17

12 Total Shots 14

7 Shots on Target 8

4 Corners 6

The Meetings

12.03.2013 Leeds United

1-1 HT 0-1

Peterborough United İNCL

25.08.2012 Peterborough United

1-2 HT 0-1

Leeds United İNCL

14.04.2012 Leeds United

4-1 HT 1-1

Peterborough United İNCL

22.10.2011 Peterborough United

2-3 HT 1-1

Leeds United İNCL

24.01.2009 Leeds United

3-1 HT 0-0

Peterborough United İN1

04.10.2008 Peterborough United

2-0 HT 0-0

Leeds United İN1

Peterborough United 0-3 Leeds United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME Peterborough United

0-3

AWAY Leeds United

51% Ball Possession 49%

8 Total Shots 17

3 Shots on Target 8

4 Corners 7

1 Yellow Cards 2

POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Leeds United

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United swept aside Peterborough United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Leeds United made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Peterborough United had 51% of the ball to Leeds United's 49%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peterborough United and 2.17 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Leeds United?

Peterborough United 0-3 Leeds United in the England - FA Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 39%, draw 23%, Leeds United 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Peterborough United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes

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