Nottingham Forest 2-2 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 7 Jan 2024

Nottingham Forest
2-2 HT 1-2
Blackpool
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Nottingham Forest vs Blackpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.79
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
19%
3.58
X/2
9%
12.85
X/X
9%
6.14
2/1
8%
22.15
2/2
10%
10.1
2/X EV+ ✓
11%
18.35
Value flag · 2/X at 18.35 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nottingham Forest v Blackpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.90/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.76
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
397 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Nottingham Forest vs Blackpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Blackpool
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.86 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
291 Passes 252
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.01.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 4-1 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest FAK
02.04.2022 Blackpool Blackpool 1-4 HT 0-3 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
16.10.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-1 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
14.02.2015 Blackpool Blackpool 4-4 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
09.08.2014 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 2-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
08.02.2014 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Blackpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
2-2
AWAY Blackpool
1.80 xG 0.54
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
613 Passes 193
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Blackpool shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 71% of the ball to Blackpool's 29%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 1.80 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.83 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Blackpool?

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Blackpool in the England - FA Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 50%, draw 25%, Blackpool 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Over 2.5
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