Hull City 1-1 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 27% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.25
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
11%
13.05
X/1
12%
5.11
X/2
12%
5.98
X/X
7%
4.9
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.03
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.2pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 37%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.04/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.12
+29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.1 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Birmingham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 0.93
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
311 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
30.12.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
16.10.2022 Hull City Hull City 0-2 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
12.03.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
20.11.2021 Hull City Hull City 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
27.06.2020 Birmingham Birmingham 3-3 HT 0-2 Hull City Hull City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
1-1
AWAY Birmingham
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hull City and Birmingham shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hull City had 67% of the ball to Birmingham's 33%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hull City and 0.83 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Birmingham?

Hull City 1-1 Birmingham in the England - FA Cup on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hull City 45%, draw 26%, Birmingham 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hull City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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