Brentford 1-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Jan 2024

Brentford
1-1 HT 1-0
Wolverhampton
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Brentford vs Wolverhampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.4
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.97
X/2
14%
5.93
X/X
11%
4.12
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
10%
4.37
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brentford v Wolverhampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.85/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.40
-46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 9.0
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Brentford vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
363 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.12.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-4 HT 1-3 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
15.04.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
29.10.2022 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
22.01.2022 Brentford Brentford 1-2 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
18.09.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-2 Brentford Brentford İNP
02.01.2018 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 3-0 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNCL

Brentford 1-1 Wolverhampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
1-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.36 xG 0.44
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
532 Passes 153
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
46 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford and Wolverhampton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brentford at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Brentford had 73% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 27%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.36 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brentford and 2.00 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Wolverhampton?

Brentford 1-1 Wolverhampton in the England - FA Cup on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brentford 41%, draw 25%, Wolverhampton 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brentford), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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