Fulham 1-0 Rotherham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Jan 2024

Fulham
1-0 HT 1-0
Rotherham United
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Fulham vs Rotherham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
22%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
15%
6.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.36
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
28.0
X/1
14%
3.37
X/2
7%
27.0
X/X
7%
9.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
23.85
2/2
8%
21.1
2/X
6%
27.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 13% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
77%
-19.6pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
8%
+13.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fulham v Rotherham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 11%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.06/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.72
-40% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -39%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
470 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
27.0 Crosses 20.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Fulham vs Rotherham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Rotherham United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
402 Passes 200
77% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.04.2017 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNCL
13.12.2016 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 1-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
29.12.2015 Fulham Fulham 4-1 HT 2-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
29.08.2015 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-3 HT 0-2 Fulham Fulham İNCL
15.04.2015 Fulham Fulham 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNCL
21.10.2014 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-3 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNCL

Fulham 1-0 Rotherham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
1-0
AWAY Rotherham United
1.31 xG 0.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 0
613 Passes 271
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Rotherham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham edged past Rotherham United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fulham had 66% of the ball to Rotherham United's 34%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 1.31 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fulham and 1.17 for Rotherham United.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Rotherham United?

Fulham 1-0 Rotherham United in the England - FA Cup on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Rotherham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fulham 57%, draw 21%, Rotherham United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Over 2.5
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