Luton Town 1-3 Sheffield United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 Feb 2024

Luton Town
1-3 HT 0-2
Sheffield United
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Luton Town vs Sheffield United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.18
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.4
X/1
18%
3.97
X/2
9%
9.24
X/X
9%
5.19
2/1
9%
22.45
2/2
8%
7.01
2/X
6%
15.1
Value flag · 1/X at 14.4 — our 11% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luton Town v Sheffield United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luton Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
425 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
– Crosses 16.7
– Yellow Cards 2.8

Luton Town vs Sheffield United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luton Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sheffield United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 1.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
207 Passes 344
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.12.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-3 HT 0-1 Luton Town Luton Town İNP
11.03.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-1 HT 0-0 Luton Town Luton Town İNCL
26.08.2022 Luton Town Luton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
22.01.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 0-0 Luton Town Luton Town İNCL
28.08.2021 Luton Town Luton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
22.04.2006 Luton Town Luton Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL

Luton Town 1-3 Sheffield United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luton Town
1-3
AWAY Sheffield United
1.88 xG 1.81
75% Ball Possession 25%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 1
479 Passes 110
85% Pass Accuracy 57%
37 Box Touches 11
43 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Luton Town vs Sheffield United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United saw off Luton Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Luton Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Luton Town had 75% of the ball to Sheffield United's 25%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.88 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luton Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Luton Town and 1.00 for Sheffield United.

What was the final score of Luton Town vs Sheffield United?

Luton Town 1-3 Sheffield United in the England - Premier League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luton Town vs Sheffield United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Luton Town 49%, draw 26%, Sheffield United 25%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luton Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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