Granada 0-2 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
24.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 35% vs market 33.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.44
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
21%
5.13
X/2
13%
6.34
X/X
11%
3.69
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
7%
4.79
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.63/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.04
+20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.0 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leganes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.62 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
207 Passes 327
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.05.2023 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS2
27.11.2022 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS2
22.06.2020 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
28.09.2019 Granada Granada 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
04.03.2017 Leganes Leganes 1-0 HT 0-0 Granada Granada İS1
01.10.2016 Granada Granada 0-1 HT 0-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
0-2
AWAY Leganes
1.07 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
280 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes beat Granada 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Granada at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Granada had 53% of the ball to Leganes's 47%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.07 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Granada and 0.50 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Granada vs Leganes?

Granada 0-2 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Granada 46%, draw 26%, Leganes 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Granada) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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