Cosenza Calcio 4-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Sep 2025

Cosenza Calcio
4-1 HT 1-0
Catania
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Cosenza Calcio vs Catania Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.69
4-5 Goals
17%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
21.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 32% vs market 31.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cosenza Calcio v Catania — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 45%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.03/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.07
-8% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Cosenza Calcio vs Catania Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Catania
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
01.12.2002 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB

Cosenza Calcio 4-1 Catania — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
4-1
AWAY Catania
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio ran out comfortable winners over Catania 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 56% of the ball to Catania's 44%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Catania?

Cosenza Calcio 4-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 30%, draw 28%, Catania 42%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5
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