Perugia vs Ascoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v Ascoli — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Ascoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Perugia
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Ascoli
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Perugia
İTB
2-3
HT 1-1
Ascoli
İTB
Perugia 0-2 Ascoli — Actual Match Statistics
Ascoli got the better of Perugia 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 34% / 32% — and on the day Ascoli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.
On the day, Perugia had 44% of the ball to Ascoli's 56%, shots finished 8-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Perugia and 0.83 for Ascoli.
What was the final score of Perugia vs Ascoli?
Perugia 0-2 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs Ascoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Perugia 34%, draw 34%, Ascoli 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.