Ascoli 0-1 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Oct 2024

Ascoli
0-1 HT 0-1
Perugia
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Ascoli vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ascoli v Perugia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.23/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.06
-5% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Ascoli vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Perugia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.81 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
312 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2023 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
10.09.2022 Perugia Perugia 1-0 HT 1-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
05.02.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 0-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
28.08.2021 Perugia Perugia 2-3 HT 1-1 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
30.09.2020 Ascoli Ascoli 1-4 HT 0-3 Perugia Perugia İTK
21.06.2020 Ascoli Ascoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTB

Ascoli 0-1 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
0-1
AWAY Perugia
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia nicked a narrow win over Ascoli 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ascoli had 67% of the ball to Perugia's 33%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ascoli and 1.50 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Perugia?

Ascoli 0-1 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 44%, draw 29%, Perugia 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ascoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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