Lumezzane 3-2 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.16
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.5pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.03/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.58
-15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +99%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-0D-3L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
21.10.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-3 HT 0-2 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
06.09.2015 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
3-2
AWAY GIANA Erminio
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane edged past GIANA Erminio 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lumezzane found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 44% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 56%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lumezzane and 2.33 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs GIANA Erminio?

Lumezzane 3-2 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 34%, draw 29%, GIANA Erminio 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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