Novara 2-0 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.42
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.36/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.18
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
0W-3D-3L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
04.11.2023 Novara Novara 0-3 HT 0-2 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
05.02.2023 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
09.10.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 3-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
21.03.2021 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
29.11.2020 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
2-0
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Novara vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara got the better of AlbinoLeffe 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novara had 42% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 58%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Novara and 1.50 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Novara vs AlbinoLeffe?

Novara 2-0 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Novara 42%, draw 25%, AlbinoLeffe 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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