AlbinoLeffe 0-0 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
6.13
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -1%
0.81/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.36
-31% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Novara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Novara Novara 0-3 HT 0-2 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
05.02.2023 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
09.10.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 3-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
21.03.2021 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
29.11.2020 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
30.06.2020 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
0-0
AWAY Novara
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe and Novara fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 66% of the ball to Novara's 34%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 0.50 for Novara.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Novara?

AlbinoLeffe 0-0 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 31%, draw 31%, Novara 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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